Thursday, July 28, 2011

Gold on Hiatus While US Debt Talks Weigh

By: Reuters and CNBC

Spot gold took a breather on Thursday after hitting record highs for two sessions this week, as sentiment remained supported by the deadlocked U.S. debt ceiling talks, with both parties trying to reach a compromise. 
    
Gold
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Top Republicans and Democrats worked behind the scenes on Wednesday on a compromise to avert a crippling U.S. default, looking to salvage a last-minute deal from rival debt plans that have little chance of winning broad congressional approval on their own.
   
With the August 2 deadline just days away, the United States is in increasing danger of losing its top-notch credit rating, even if a deal to avert default is reached, analysts and traders said. 
   
"It looks like a downgrade has been priced in with all the sell-off in the dollar," said a Singapore-based trader. "Gold remains a good trade overall with some people targeting $1,650s or $1,660s." 
   
The dollar [.DXY  74.11    0.03  (+0.04%)   ] remained on the defensive as Washington showed no signs of progress in debt agreement, making dollar-priced gold more appealing to holders of other currencies.
   
Spot gold [XAU  212.35    -6.49  (-2.97%)   ] edged up 0.1 percent to $1,614.86 an ounce by 0219 GMT, off an all-time high of $1,628 set on Wednesday. 
   
U.S. gold [GCCV1  1615.20    0.10  (+0.01%)   ] was flat at $1,615.50. 
   
Adding to the safe haven demand, Standard & Poor's cut Greece's sovereign credit rating further into junk territory, saying the European Union's proposed debt restructuring would put the country into "selective default".
   
Technical analysis suggested that a bullish goal at $1,644 has been abandoned and gold could head down towards $1,593, said Reuters analyst Wang Tao.
   
If Washington reaches a deal on raising the $14.3 trillion debt ceiling, gold could face a pullback with the return of risk appetite. 
  


"Gold is very ignitable at this point — throw it a spark and it shoots up," said Hou Xinqiang, an analyst at Jinrui Futures in China. 
   
"When we see a result, prices will correct and present a good chance to get into the market." 
   
In Asia's physical gold market, record highs have triggered moderate selling and buying remained muted during the seasonal lull.
   
Spot silver [XAG=  40.35    0.15  (+0.37%)   ] gained half a percent to $40.38, after reaching $41.42, its highest since early May, when prices tumbled from a record of $49.51 set on April 28.
Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for restrictions.

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