Tuesday, September 13, 2011

Gold Rebounds 1% on Persistent Euro Zone Worries

By: Reuters

Gold prices rebounded 1 percent on Tuesday from a sell-off in the previous session, as heightened worries about the sovereign debt crisis in Europe remain supportive of safe-haven demand for bullion.
Gold
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The threat of a potential Greek default and a full-blown banking crisis in Europe triggered a sell-off in equities and the euro in the previous session, before talks that Italy has asked China to buy its debt helped ease the panic.
   
Investors are watching a meeting between the U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and euro zone finance ministers on Friday to discuss risks posed by European debt contagion.
   
"There is a slow-motion train wreck going on in Europe at the moment, which is going to be relatively supportive of gold," said Nick Trevethan, senior commodities strategist at ANZ. 
   
"All the factors that have been supporting gold for the past few months are still there. Nothing has changed." 
   
In the short term, gold could face more downside risk and prices may test as low as $1,750, he added. 
   
Spot gold [XAU=  1805.99    -7.26  (-0.4%)   ] gained as much as 1 percent to $1,831.86 an ounce and eased slightly to $1,829.95 by 0324 GMT, after shedding more than 2 percent in the previous session. 
   
U.S. gold [GCCV1  1816.70    3.40  (+0.19%)   ] rose 1.1 percent to $1,833.50. 
   
Technical analysis suggested that gold could decline to $1,759 later in the day, said Reuters market analyst Wang Tao. 
    
The daily trading range in spot gold increased from an average of $20 in July to $51 in August. In the past few session, gold swung in a range of over $60. 
   
The volatility has put off some investors, and led to concerns that exchanges might increase margin requirements to protect themselves from potential default. 
   
"There is a possibility of more margin increases going forward. We've seen a lot of $60-plus intra-day moves, which has to be concerning exchanges and clearing houses," said Trevethan.
   
The CME Group raised margin requirements on U.S. gold futures twice in August.
     
Strong Dollar Deters Physical Buying   
As the euro zone debt crisis threatens the integrity of the single-currency bloc, the dollar has risen sharply since the end of August.
    

An expensive dollar makes commodities priced in the greenback less attractive for buyers holding other currencies. 
   
"Since the dollar has strengthened, people are not rushing to buy gold even though prices have fallen from the record high," said a Singapore-based dealer. 
   
India, the world's largest gold consumer, is gearing for the festival and wedding season later this month, which will peak in later October.  
   
Dealers reported purchases from India in recent weeks but said the high gold prices in rupees have dented buying interest. 
Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for restrictions.

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